Why “China First” Will Fail
The limits and lessons of a transactional foreign policy.
China Could Win Taiwan Without Fighting
The cost of Trump’s equivocation.
Is Capitalism Too Productive?
Lionel Jospin recently took power in France with a promise to reduce the workweek from 39 to 35 hours. Why? Because of the latest popular economic fallacy: the theory of global glut, or the belief that there is too much output and not enough work to go around in today’s hyper-efficient economy. But productive capacity in the advanced nations is not growing much faster than it was during the last two decades, and more slowly than in the 1950s and 1960s. People will always find new wants, and the newly industrializing countries are consuming even more than they produce. As Marx could have told you, capitalism can go on accumulating capital — and producing more goods and services — forever.
The Only Way to Save Europe
The continent must act like a country.
When Workers Lose to AI
How the U.S. government can soften the blow of automation.
Sapiens in the Mist
What the fight about humanity’s origins reveals about its future.
When a Cease-Fire Is Really a Stalemate
Equilibrium with Iran is the best America can do.
The Quiet Rise of the Plastics Crisis
How to counter an insidious global threat.
Iran Won the War but May Lose the Peace
Tehran is poised to overplay its hand.
The Long Shadow of the Iran War
Trump’s most consequential foreign policy mistake.