Geopolitics
Why Iran Will Escalate
U.S. military strikes and the risk of a quagmire.
How to Prevent the Next World War
A Conversation With Thant Myint-U
The G-2 Reality
America and China cannot dominate or exclude each other.
Can Saudi Arabia Keep Hedging?
The Iran war has altered the Gulf’s balance of power—and the kingdom’s calculus.
The Middle Power Delusion
Not choosing is not an option.
Japan’s Point of No Return
Will Washington squander Tokyo’s new security commitment?
China’s New Vassal
The war in Ukraine turned Moscow into Beijing’s junior partner.
The Cost of the AGI Delusion
By chasing superintelligence, America is falling behind in the real AI race.
The AI Power Paradox
Can states learn to govern artificial intelligence—before it’s too late?
Iran as Vietnam, Ukraine as Korea
Similar wars end in similar ways.