May 2026
Why the Next India-Pakistan War Will Escalate
America will struggle to contain it.
The Return of Japanese Hard Power
Why Tokyo is bulking up its defense industrial base.
Trump’s China Trap
Why Xi keeps winning the summitry game.
The Lessons of the Long Confucian Peace
Can ideology prevent war in East Asia?
Iran’s New Oil Weapon
How America can protect itself—and the global economy.
Why Japan and South Korea Won’t Go Nuclear
America still needs to worry about proliferation in East Asia.
This Is Not the World Russia Wants
A belligerent America is foiling Putin’s strategy.
The Case for a Grand Bargain Between America and China
How Trump and Xi can reset relations.
Trump, Xi, and the Case for Strategic Calm
How America can take advantage of the status quo.
Trump, Xi, and the Specter of 1914
How America and China can avoid the blunders that led to World War I.